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Performance Trend

Calculated

Last refreshed 30 January 2026 16:42
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Performance Trend

Calculated

Human-readable performance trend description

Understanding Performance Trend

The Performance Trend indicates whether a school’s results are improving, stable, or declining over recent years. This helps identify schools on upward or downward trajectories.

What This Captures

Performance trend is typically calculated by comparing: - Progress 8 or Attainment 8 over multiple years - KS2 outcomes over time - Other key metrics year-on-year

Trend Categories

  • Improving: Results getting better over consecutive years
  • Stable: Results consistent year-on-year
  • Declining: Results getting worse over consecutive years

Why Trends Matter

A snapshot of one year’s results doesn’t tell the whole story: - An improving school may be better than its current rating suggests - A declining school may be heading toward problems - A stable school offers predictable quality

Context for Interpretation

Consider trends alongside: - Leadership changes (new head = potential for change) - Intake changes (demographic shifts) - External factors (COVID disruption, local changes)

A declining trend in isolation warrants investigation, but may have explanations that don’t reflect teaching quality.

Technical Details

Column Name
performance_trend
Data Source
Calculated

Coverage by School Phase

How many schools have data available for this field.

Primary
100% 17910 / 17910
Secondary
100% 1263 / 1263
Secondary with Sixth Form
100% 2033 / 2033
Sixth Form Only
100% 289 / 289
All-through
100% 269 / 269
Special
100% 2059 / 2059
Independent
100% 1724 / 1724
Good (80%+)
Moderate (50-79%)
Poor (<50%)

This field does not contribute to the performance score calculation.

Value Distribution by School Phase

Distribution of categorical values across schools.

Primary (17910 schools, 44 values)

3,277 18.3%
Stable performance
1,552 8.7%
Declining trend (-0.5 per year)
1,457 8.1%
Improving trend (+0.5 per year)
1,399 7.8%
Improving trend (+1.0 per year)
1,318 7.4%
Declining trend (-1.0 per year)
1,242 6.9%
Improving trend (+1.5 per year)
1,063 5.9%
Declining trend (-1.5 per year)
1,001 5.6%
Improving trend (+2.0 per year)
875 4.9%
Declining trend (-2.0 per year)
805 4.5%
Improving trend (+2.5 per year)
693 3.9%
Declining trend (-2.5 per year)
561 3.1%
Improving trend (+3.0 per year)
497 2.8%
Declining trend (-3.0 per year)
409 2.3%
Improving trend (+3.5 per year)
332 1.9%
Declining trend (-3.5 per year)
278 1.6%
Improving trend (+4.0 per year)
224 1.3%
Declining trend (-4.0 per year)
170 0.9%
Improving trend (+4.5 per year)
133 0.7%
Declining trend (-4.5 per year)
107 0.6%
Improving trend (+5.0 per year)
93 0.5%
Declining trend (-5.0 per year)
78 0.4%
Improving trend (+5.5 per year)
66 0.4%
Declining trend (-6.0 per year)
45 0.3%
Declining trend (-5.5 per year)
41 0.2%
Improving trend (+6.0 per year)
40 0.2%
Improving trend (+6.5 per year)
31 0.2%
Declining trend (-7.0 per year)
19 0.1%
Declining trend (-6.5 per year)
19 0.1%
Improving trend (+7.0 per year)
18 0.1%
Declining trend (-7.5 per year)
14 0.1%
Improving trend (+7.5 per year)
13 0.1%
Declining trend (-8.5 per year)
8 0.0%
Improving trend (+8.0 per year)
6 0.0%
Declining trend (-8.0 per year)
5 0.0%
Declining trend (-9.0 per year)
5 0.0%
Improving trend (+9.0 per year)
4 0.0%
Improving trend (+9.5 per year)
3 0.0%
Declining trend (-9.5 per year)
2 0.0%
Declining trend (-10.0 per year)
2 0.0%
Improving trend (+8.5 per year)
2 0.0%
Improving trend (+11.0 per year)
1 0.0%
Declining trend (-11.0 per year)
1 0.0%
Improving trend (+10.0 per year)
1 0.0%

Secondary (1263 schools, 1 values)

1,263 100.0%

Secondary with Sixth Form (2033 schools, 1 values)

2,033 100.0%

Sixth Form Only (289 schools, 1 values)

289 100.0%

All-through (269 schools, 1 values)

269 100.0%

Special (2059 schools, 1 values)

2,059 100.0%

Independent (1724 schools, 1 values)

1,724 100.0%